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Causation in Global Conflict - AP Modern World History Study Guide

Written by AP Content Team, Verified for 2026 AP Exams, Last updated: May 2026

Learn with study guides reviewed by top AP teachers. This guide takes about 13 minutes to read.

Getting Started

The period from 1900 to the present was defined by global conflicts of unprecedented scale and intensity, including two world wars and the Cold War. These conflicts were not sudden events but the culmination of long-term pressures that had been building for decades. This chapter reviews the complex web of causes—political, technological, and ideological—that destabilized the global order, toppled old empires, and reshaped the modern world.

What You Should Be Able to Do

  • Explain how the decline of empires created conditions for conflict.

  • Analyze the role of technological advancements in changing the nature of warfare.

  • Explain how political and social challenges, such as major revolutions, contributed to global instability.

  • Evaluate the relative significance of different causes in leading to major 20th-century conflicts.

Key Developments & Analysis

Causes of Global Conflict

The major conflicts of the 20th century stemmed from a convergence of factors. No single cause is sufficient to explain the devastation that followed; instead, we must look at how different pressures interacted and amplified one another.

Political and Social Instability

  • The Decline of Empires: At the start of the 20th century, much of the world was controlled by large, land-based and maritime empires, which were political states governing multiple nationalities and extensive territories. The weakening and eventual collapse of empires like the Ottoman, Russian, Qing, and Austro-Hungarian created massive power vacuums. This decline unleashed nationalist aspirations among formerly subject peoples and created intense competition among successor states and rival powers, often leading to regional and global wars.

  • Challenges to the Existing Order: The established political and social structures faced profound challenges from within. The Mexican Revolution (1910-1920) was a decade-long civil war that radically transformed Mexican society and challenged the power of foreign interests and the traditional land-owning elite. Similarly, Communist Revolutions in Russia (1917) and later in China offered a powerful new ideology that rejected capitalism and liberal democracy. These movements not only caused internal conflict but also created a new and potent source of international tension, pitting communist states against capitalist ones.

Scientific and Technological Advances

  • New Military Technology: The early 20th century witnessed rapid advances in military technology. Innovations like the machine gun, poison gas, submarines, airplanes, and tanks did not cause wars on their own, but they dramatically increased the scale and lethality of conflict. Industrialized warfare led to staggering casualty rates, erased the distinction between the battlefield and the home front, and made total victory seem necessary to justify the immense sacrifices.

  • The Atomic Age: The development of the atomic bomb during World War II represented the ultimate fusion of science and warfare. This technology created a new geopolitical reality, where the threat of mutual annihilation became a central feature of the Cold War rivalry between the United States and the Soviet Union.

Effects & Impacts of Global Conflict

The consequences of these conflicts were as profound as their causes, fundamentally reordering global politics, societies, and economies.

Immediate Effects

  • Massive Human Casualties: The world wars resulted in tens of millions of deaths, both military and civilian, on a scale never before seen.

  • Redrawing of Political Maps: The collapse of empires led to the creation of many new nation-states, particularly in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, often with borders that created new ethnic tensions.

  • Economic Devastation: Industrialized warfare destroyed infrastructure, crippled national economies, and led to enormous debt, particularly in Europe.

Long-Term Impacts

  • Shift in Global Power: The conflicts accelerated the shift of global power away from Western Europe and toward the United States and the Soviet Union, setting the stage for the Cold War.

  • Rise of International Organizations: In the aftermath of the world wars, nations created new institutions like the League of Nations and the United Nations with the goal of preventing future global conflicts through diplomacy and collective security.

  • The Cold War: The ideological struggle between the United States and the Soviet Union, fueled by the threat of nuclear war, dominated the second half of the 20th century and spawned numerous proxy wars across the globe.

Data & Organization Tools

Matrix: Categorizing Causes of 20th-Century Conflict

This table helps organize the primary causes of conflict and evaluate their relative significance.

Causal CategoryKey ExamplesImpact on Global Conflict
PoliticalDecline of Ottoman, Russian, and Qing empires; rise of aggressive, expansionist states.Created power vacuums, ethnic tensions, and rivalries that fueled WWI and regional wars.
Social/IdeologicalMexican Revolution; Communist Revolutions in Russia and China; intense nationalism.Challenged existing social hierarchies and political systems, creating deep ideological divides that fueled the Cold War.
TechnologicalMachine guns, poison gas, airplanes, tanks, atomic weapons.Dramatically increased the lethality and scale of warfare, leading to "total war" and the nuclear standoff.

Evidence Bank

  • Mexican Revolution (1910-1920): A complex and violent struggle that overthrew a long-standing dictatorship, sought land reform, and established a new constitution. It serves as a key example of an internal social and political challenge that reshaped a nation in this period.

  • Russian Revolution (1917): The overthrow of the Tsarist empire and the establishment of the world's first communist state. This event took Russia out of World War I and introduced a new, powerful political ideology onto the world stage.

  • Decline of the Ottoman Empire: Often called the "sick man of Europe," its slow disintegration throughout the 19th and early 20th centuries created instability in the Balkans, a region that became the "powder keg" for World War I.

  • Collapse of the Qing Dynasty (1912): The end of China's last imperial dynasty, which led to a prolonged period of political fragmentation, civil war, and foreign intervention, illustrating the chaotic consequences of imperial decline.

  • Communism: A political and economic ideology, based on the ideas of Karl Marx, that advocates for a classless society and the abolition of private property. Its implementation in Russia and elsewhere created a fundamental ideological conflict with capitalist nations.

  • Nationalism: A powerful ideology that promotes the interests, culture, and unity of a particular nation. In the 20th century, it was a force that both helped break apart old empires and fueled aggressive expansionism by newly powerful states.

  • Trench Warfare: A form of combat characteristic of World War I, in which opposing armies fought from fortified ditches. It was a direct result of new defensive technologies like the machine gun and led to brutal stalemates and immense loss of life.

  • Atomic Bomb: A nuclear weapon of immense destructive power, first used in 1945. Its existence fundamentally altered military strategy and international relations, defining the central terror of the Cold War.

Skill Snapshots

  • Causation: The decline of the Ottoman and Austro-Hungarian empires → created a power vacuum and ethnic tensions in the Balkans → which provided the trigger for World War I.

  • Comparison: Both the Mexican and Russian Revolutions challenged the existing social and political order, but the Mexican Revolution was primarily driven by demands for land reform and national sovereignty, while the Russian Revolution was explicitly guided by a global communist ideology.

  • CCOT:

    • Baseline (c. 1900): The world was dominated by large, multi-ethnic empires.

    • Changes: Empires collapsed and were replaced by nation-states; new ideologies like communism directly challenged the capitalist world order.

    • Continuity: Competition between states for resources, territory, and influence remained a persistent cause of conflict throughout the period.

Common Misconceptions & Clarifications

  1. "Technology is the main cause of war." Clarification: New military technology did not cause the world wars, but it dramatically amplified their destructiveness and changed how they were fought. The root causes were political and ideological.

  2. "Revolutions are purely internal events." Clarification: Revolutions like those in Russia and China had profound international consequences, inspiring similar movements elsewhere and creating a major ideological pole that fueled the Cold War.

  3. "World War I and World War II had the same causes." Clarification: While they shared some underlying causes like nationalism, WWI was primarily caused by imperial rivalries and alliance systems, whereas WWII was more directly caused by the aggressive expansionism of totalitarian states.

  4. "Empires simply vanished after WWI." Clarification: While the land-based empires of Central and Eastern Europe collapsed, the maritime empires of Britain and France expanded after WWI, only to decline after WWII in the face of new anti-colonial movements.

One-Paragraph Summary

The global conflicts of the 20th century were caused by a powerful convergence of factors rather than a single trigger. The structural weakness created by the decline of major land-based empires, such as the Ottoman and Qing, opened the door to instability and nationalist competition. This was intensified by profound challenges to the existing social and political order, including the Mexican and Russian Revolutions, which introduced new, disruptive ideologies to the world stage. Finally, rapid advances in science and technology equipped states with unprecedented destructive power, transforming warfare and raising the stakes of global conflict. This complex interplay of political decay, ideological struggle, and technological advancement reshaped the world map and defined the tumultuous history of the modern era.